Airdrieonians 2-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.8
1/2
6%
24.2
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
13%
6.98
X/2
15%
5.12
X/X
17%
5.04
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
19%
2.98
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 48%
+23% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.43/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.19
+27% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
6.0 Crosses 14.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Partick Thistle
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
22.02.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
21.12.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-2 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
19.10.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
10.05.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
07.05.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-2 HT 1-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
20.04.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 4-0 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians nicked a narrow win over Partick Thistle 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Airdrieonians made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Airdrieonians and 2.17 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Partick Thistle?

Airdrieonians 2-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 29%, draw 30%, Partick Thistle 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Partick Thistle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ BTTS Yes
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