Partick Thistle 2-1 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
7%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 32% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.55
X/1
22%
3.89
X/2
5%
9.13
X/X
8%
5.51
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
10%
7.0
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.8pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.72/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.53
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Airdrieonians
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
10.05.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
07.05.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-2 HT 1-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
20.04.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 4-0 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
27.01.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
02.12.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
12.08.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle edged past Airdrieonians 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.17 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Airdrieonians?

Partick Thistle 2-1 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 55%, draw 25%, Airdrieonians 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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