Ayr United 1-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 19 Oct 2024

Ayr United
1-2
Livingston
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Ayr United vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.51
6+ Goals
11%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.45
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
10%
4.91
X/2
12%
5.99
X/X
17%
3.93
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
13%
4.55
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.46/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.00
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 62%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses 5.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ayr United vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Livingston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
28.11.2020 Livingston Livingston 4-0 HT 4-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
16.07.2019 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
26.07.2016 Livingston Livingston 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
14.04.2012 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
06.03.2012 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
FAQ Ayr United vs Livingston
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Livingston edged past Ayr United 2-1 away from home in the Scotland - Championship on 19 Oct 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ayr United and 1.50 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Livingston?

Ayr United 1-2 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 37%, draw 32%, Livingston 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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