Partick Thistle 4-0 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.5
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.22
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.04
X/2
11%
6.11
X/X
8%
4.79
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.21
2/X
11%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.9pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.57/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.96
+9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 68%
39.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Airdrieonians
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
27.01.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-1 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
02.12.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 2-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
12.08.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
27.03.2021 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-4 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İK1
24.10.2020 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle cruised past Airdrieonians 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Partick Thistle found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.40 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Airdrieonians?

Partick Thistle 4-0 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 37%, draw 29%, Airdrieonians 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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