Dundee United 1-0 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 20 Apr 2024

Dundee United
1-0 HT 0-0
Ayr United
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2023/2024

Dundee United vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.9
X/1
15%
3.61
X/2
6%
13.4
X/X
13%
6.34
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
9%
10.45
2/X
8%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.77/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.83
-8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
– Crosses 26.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Dundee United vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ayr United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
09.12.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
26.08.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 0-3 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
14.08.2021 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
03.03.2020 Ayr United Ayr United 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
21.12.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 4-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United squeezed past Ayr United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dundee United and 0.33 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Ayr United?

Dundee United 1-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 51%, draw 27%, Ayr United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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