AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
24%
2.88
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
69%
1.44
Over
31%
2.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.31
No
68%
1.54
Total Goals
0-1
43%
1.91
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
12%
6.2
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.99
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
7%
5.84
X/2
15%
4.81
X/X
14%
3.37
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
24%
3.73
2/X
5%
15.25
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.99 — our 22% vs market 15.5%. Landed.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME AFC Wimbledon The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City The Market 42%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.17 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.09
1.18 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.06
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
199 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.0 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lincoln City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 0.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
216 Passes 277
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0-2 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
19.10.2021 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
09.05.2021 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
02.01.2021 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-2 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
02.11.2019 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
04.11.2017 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Wimbledon
2-0
AWAY Lincoln City
2.01 xG 0.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
282 Passes 198
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 9
REVIEW AFC Wimbledon vs Lincoln City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AFC Wimbledon saw off Lincoln City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

A gentle 43% lean on Lincoln City didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (68%) landed.

On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in AFC Wimbledon's favour, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 2.01 to 0.32.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for AFC Wimbledon against 0.83 for Lincoln City.

AFC Wimbledon vs Lincoln City Result & Final Score

AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AFC Wimbledon vs Lincoln City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Wimbledon 33%, draw 24%, Lincoln City 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lincoln City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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