Stevenage 1-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.64
Over
42%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.0
No
54%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.5
2-3
38%
1.71
4-5
19%
4.23
6+
9%
21.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.5 — our 34% vs market 32.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.56
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
13%
4.29
X/2
11%
8.28
X/X
13%
4.13
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
11%
7.02
2/X
7%
15.45
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Stevenage The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United The Market 26%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.28 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.95
0.71 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.03
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 66%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.5 Crosses 21.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rotherham United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.91 xG 0.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
182 Passes 196
64% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Stevenage Stevenage 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
26.10.2024 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
15.02.2014 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
16.11.2013 Stevenage Stevenage 0-3 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
03.11.2012 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-2 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage FAK
25.01.2011 Stevenage Stevenage 3-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-0
AWAY Rotherham United
1.21 xG 0.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
155 Passes 224
62% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Stevenage vs Rotherham United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stevenage edged past Rotherham United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Stevenage had 43% of the ball to Rotherham United's 57%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.21 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stevenage and 1.83 for Rotherham United.

Stevenage vs Rotherham United Result & Final Score

Stevenage 1-0 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stevenage vs Rotherham United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 46%, draw 26%, Rotherham United 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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