Rotherham United 2-0 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.64
Over
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.62
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
17%
4.49
6+
8%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.81
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.25
X/2
9%
7.16
X/X
17%
4.1
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.83
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.1pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.77/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.11
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
277 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 64%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
31.0 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Stevenage
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
15.02.2014 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
16.11.2013 Stevenage Stevenage 0-3 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
03.11.2012 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-2 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage FAK
25.01.2011 Stevenage Stevenage 3-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
09.10.2010 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
2-0
AWAY Stevenage
0.71 xG 0.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
190 Passes 178
63% Pass Accuracy 62%
15 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United beat Stevenage 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rotherham United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Rotherham United had 51% of the ball to Stevenage's 49%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.71 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rotherham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Rotherham United and 1.40 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Stevenage?

Rotherham United 2-0 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 42%, draw 30%, Stevenage 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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