Charlton Athletic 2-2 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.67
Over
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.7
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
18%
4.34
6+
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.7 — our 35% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.87
X/2
16%
5.84
X/X
15%
4.13
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
16%
4.42
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.38/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.89
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.1 Crosses 20.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
2-2
AWAY Wrexham
1.45 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
314 Passes 236
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic and Wrexham shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 55% of the ball to Wrexham's 45%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.45 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Wrexham?

Charlton Athletic 2-2 Wrexham in the England - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 33%, draw 29%, Wrexham 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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