Shrewsbury 0-2 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.07
Over
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No Pick
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.98
2-3
42%
1.84
4-5
23%
3.12
6+
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.98 — our 25% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.23
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
6%
7.54
X/2
14%
4.6
X/X
9%
5.14
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.62
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
0.90/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.81
-20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
231 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
18.3 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Barnsley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 1.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
216 Passes 324
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-1 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
24.10.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 3-0 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
10.04.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
12.11.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
19.04.2019 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 1-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
23.10.2018 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-1 HT 2-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-2
AWAY Barnsley
0.11 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
180 Passes 224
59% Pass Accuracy 66%
11 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley beat Shrewsbury 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnsley as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 47% of the ball to Barnsley's 53%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.11 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.67 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Barnsley?

Shrewsbury 0-2 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 24%, draw 27%, Barnsley 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnsley) ✓ BTTS No
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