Shrewsbury 1-1 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2024

Shrewsbury
1-1 HT 1-0
Barnsley
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Shrewsbury vs Barnsley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.97
6+ Goals
11%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.25
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
13%
6.77
X/2
16%
4.33
X/X
13%
4.37
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.82
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shrewsbury v Barnsley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
0.95/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.33
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
203 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 68%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.4 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Shrewsbury vs Barnsley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Barnsley
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 1.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
230 Passes 318
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 3-0 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
10.04.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 2-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
12.11.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
19.04.2019 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 1-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
23.10.2018 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-1 HT 2-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
16.01.2016 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-3 HT 0-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1

Shrewsbury 1-1 Barnsley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-1
AWAY Barnsley
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
177 Passes 342
61% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shrewsbury and Barnsley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Barnsley at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 38% of the ball to Barnsley's 62%, shots finished 15-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shrewsbury and 2.00 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Barnsley?

Shrewsbury 1-1 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 29%, draw 28%, Barnsley 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barnsley), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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