Fleetwood Town 1-1 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.83
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.8
X/2
9%
5.33
X/X
18%
4.76
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
13%
3.4
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 12% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.36/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.36
+1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
271 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.7 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Reading
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.63 xG 2.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 9
252 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 32
28 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2023 Reading Reading 1-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
1-1
AWAY Reading
2.13 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
293 Passes 283
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 12
34 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town and Reading shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 52% of the ball to Reading's 48%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.13 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Reading?

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 37%, draw 29%, Reading 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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