Charlton Athletic 1-1 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
22.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.17
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.6
X/2
13%
6.14
X/X
14%
4.08
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.75
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
1.40/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.14
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.6 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lincoln City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
341 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 3-1 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
07.01.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
08.10.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
02.04.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
16.10.2021 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
04.05.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
1-1
AWAY Lincoln City
0.59 xG 0.16
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
355 Passes 173
72% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic and Lincoln City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Charlton Athletic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 63% of the ball to Lincoln City's 37%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.59 to 0.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.50 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?

Charlton Athletic 1-1 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 41%, draw 27%, Lincoln City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlton Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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