Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2024

Bolton Wanderers
2-1 HT 1-0
Wycombe Wanderers
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Bolton Wanderers vs Wycombe Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.12
X/2
11%
7.91
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
8%
24.15
2/2
13%
6.1
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bolton Wanderers v Wycombe Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.31/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.37
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
294 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 64%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.3 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Bolton Wanderers vs Wycombe Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
271 Passes 179
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-4 HT 0-2 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
18.02.2023 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
06.08.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-0 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
11.01.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
20.11.2021 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
15.02.2020 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1

Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
2-1
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.74 xG 2.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
287 Passes 223
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Wycombe Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 56% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 44%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.74 to 2.33 — on chances, Wycombe Wanderers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.33 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 44%, draw 26%, Wycombe Wanderers 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5
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