Stevenage 1-1 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.59
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
21%
4.17
6+
10%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
0.98/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.04
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
254 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 70%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.5 Crosses 22.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rotherham United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.22 xG 0.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
178 Passes 190
62% Pass Accuracy 63%
10 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
15.02.2014 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
16.11.2013 Stevenage Stevenage 0-3 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
03.11.2012 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-2 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage FAK
25.01.2011 Stevenage Stevenage 3-0 HT 1-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN2
09.10.2010 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-1
AWAY Rotherham United
1.59 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
186 Passes 203
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage and Rotherham United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Stevenage had 49% of the ball to Rotherham United's 51%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.59 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stevenage and 1.83 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Rotherham United?

Stevenage 1-1 Rotherham United in the England - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 44%, draw 26%, Rotherham United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stevenage), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İN1 More England - 1st Division
27 Apr 2025
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