Harborough Town 4-0 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.09/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.87
-42% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town cruised past Needham Market 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Needham Market?

Harborough Town 4-0 Needham Market in the England - Non League Premier on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 53%, draw 22%, Needham Market 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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