Karlbergs BK vs Arlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karlbergs BK v Arlanda — Team-Based Signals
Karlbergs BK vs Arlanda Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Arlanda
İSÇ4
1-2
HT 0-1
Karlbergs BK
İSÇ4
1-2
HT 1-1
Karlbergs BK
İSÇ4
7-0
HT 1-0
Arlanda
İSÇ4
Karlbergs BK 1-3 Arlanda — Actual Match Statistics
Arlanda saw off Karlbergs BK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Karlbergs BK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Karlbergs BK had 57% of the ball to Arlanda's 43%, shots finished 8-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Karlbergs BK had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Karlbergs BK and 0.40 for Arlanda.
What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Arlanda?
Karlbergs BK 1-3 Arlanda in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Arlanda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 44%, draw 23%, Arlanda 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.