San Martin San Juan 0-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
7.01
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.11
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
14%
4.31
X/2
7%
7.09
X/X
20%
3.23
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
10%
6.57
2/X
5%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -15%
1.00/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.29
-40% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
25.7 Crosses 17.9
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
1W-2D-1L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
225 Passes 272
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2025 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
28.05.2017 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-2 HT 1-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
28.09.2015 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
15.03.2014 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 1-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin San Juan
0-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.71 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
160 Passes 192
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento nicked a narrow win over San Martin San Juan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Martin San Juan at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, San Martin San Juan had 49% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 51%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.71 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.50 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs CA Sarmiento?

San Martin San Juan 0-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 43%, draw 33%, CA Sarmiento 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Martin San Juan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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