Armadale 4-2 Sorrento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.41
No
51%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
67%
-17.5pp
51%
BTTS No
33%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armadale EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.20/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.12
+32% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armadale
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sorrento
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2025 Sorrento Sorrento 1-5 HT 1-2 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
26.08.2023 Sorrento Sorrento 1-5 HT 1-3 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
03.06.2023 Armadale Armadale 2-3 HT 0-3 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
18.06.2022 Armadale Armadale 3-0 HT 2-0 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
26.03.2022 Sorrento Sorrento 5-1 HT 3-1 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
03.07.2021 Sorrento Sorrento 1-2 HT 0-1 Armadale Armadale AVUSB
POST-MATCH Armadale vs Sorrento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armadale beat Sorrento 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sorrento at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Armadale had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Armadale and 1.83 for Sorrento.

What was the final score of Armadale vs Sorrento?

Armadale 4-2 Sorrento in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armadale vs Sorrento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sorrento win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Armadale 35%, draw 22%, Sorrento 43%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sorrento), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sorrento) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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