South Hobart 1-3 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.6pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.86/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/1.72
+35% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Launceston City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 Launceston City Launceston City 1-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
06.04.2025 South Hobart South Hobart 2-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
07.09.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
13.07.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 4-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
11.05.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
09.09.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City got the better of South Hobart 3-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. South Hobart carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for South Hobart and 1.67 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Launceston City?

South Hobart 1-3 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 56%, draw 19%, Launceston City 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South Hobart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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