South Hobart 2-2 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.7pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.19/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.93
-3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
483 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Launceston City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
13.07.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 4-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
11.05.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
09.09.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
15.07.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
13.05.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart and Launceston City shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had South Hobart at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for South Hobart and 1.33 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Launceston City?

South Hobart 2-2 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 64%, draw 15%, Launceston City 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South Hobart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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