Sydney United 2-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
2.08/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.71
+18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses 20.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 1.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 10
299 Passes 312
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 2-0 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-5 HT 0-4 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
04.06.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
19.02.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 1-3 HT 0-3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
31.07.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-3 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
15.05.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 2-2 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United edged past APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sydney United and 1.33 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Sydney United 2-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 31%, draw 22%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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