Sydney United 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

Sydney United
2-0 HT 0-0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.0pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney United v APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.79/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.46
-11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.1 Crosses 21.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.62 xG 2.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
304 Passes 299
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-5 HT 0-4 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
04.06.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
19.02.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 1-3 HT 0-3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
31.07.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-3 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
15.05.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 2-2 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
08.05.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-3 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United beat APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. APIA Leichhardt Tigers carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sydney United and 1.67 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Sydney United 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 20%, draw 21%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 59%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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