St. Albans Saints 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.18
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
55%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+9.3pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.8pp
55%
Away Win
72%
-17.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 77%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -32%
0.53/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.41
-25% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -23%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
233 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.5 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.42 xG 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
156 Passes 346
55% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-2 HT 1-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
16.06.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
19.03.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-1 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
14.08.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 2-1 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
06.05.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
16.05.2021 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-3 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans Saints edged past Oakleigh Cannons 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Oakleigh Cannons at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Albans Saints and 2.17 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Oakleigh Cannons?

St. Albans Saints 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 20%, draw 24%, Oakleigh Cannons 55%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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