Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-3 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒09:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.6pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.0pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-0.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.10/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.07
+37% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses 25.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Peninsula Power
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.02 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
261 Passes 323
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-2 HT 1-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
03.06.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-3 HT 1-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
25.02.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
25.06.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
20.03.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
24.10.2021 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power beat Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunshine Coast Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 1.50 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Peninsula Power?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-3 Peninsula Power in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 25%, draw 18%, Peninsula Power 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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