Adelaide United II 4-0 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

Adelaide United II
4-0 HT 1-0
Adelaide City
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Adelaide United II vs Adelaide City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.17
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.5pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+3.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.4pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United II v Adelaide City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 49%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.50/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.98
-1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.9

Adelaide United II vs Adelaide City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Adelaide City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
27.05.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
05.03.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
09.07.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 3-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
09.04.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 2-4 HT 1-3 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVSA
07.08.2021 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 2-4 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II cruised past Adelaide City 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (68%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.67 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Adelaide City?

Adelaide United II 4-0 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 31%, draw 19%, Adelaide City 50%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Adelaide City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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