Adelaide City 2-3 Adelaide United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.21/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.74
+20% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adelaide United II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
05.03.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 0-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
09.07.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 3-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
09.04.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 2-4 HT 1-3 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVSA
07.08.2021 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 2-4 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
22.05.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-3 HT 1-2 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Adelaide United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II squeezed past Adelaide City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Adelaide United II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Adelaide City and 2.17 for Adelaide United II.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Adelaide United II?

Adelaide City 2-3 Adelaide United II in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Adelaide United II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 36%, draw 25%, Adelaide United II 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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