South Adelaide Panthers 2-2 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 60%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.24/2.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/2.06
+2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Adelaide Panthers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Croydon Kings
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 3-3 HT 2-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVSA
25.04.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 3-1 HT 2-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
23.07.2022 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-3 HT 0-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
22.04.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-1 HT 0-1 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
21.08.2021 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-2 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
04.06.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-2 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Adelaide Panthers vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Adelaide Panthers and Croydon Kings couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Croydon Kings at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Croydon Kings led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for South Adelaide Panthers and 2.17 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of South Adelaide Panthers vs Croydon Kings?

South Adelaide Panthers 2-2 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Adelaide Panthers vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split South Adelaide Panthers 31%, draw 25%, Croydon Kings 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Croydon Kings) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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