Melbourne Knights 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.28/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.03
-7% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.46 xG 1.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
336 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-2 HT 2-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.02.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
29.07.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.05.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-2 HT 1-2 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
09.07.2021 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
09.04.2021 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakleigh Cannons nicked a narrow win over Melbourne Knights 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oakleigh Cannons as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.83 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Melbourne Knights 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 31%, draw 23%, Oakleigh Cannons 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
26 Apr 2024
12:30 Sydney II vs Sydney United Analysis →
12:30 Manly United vs NWS Spirit Analysis →
13:00 South Adelaide Panthers vs Croydon Kings Analysis →
13:00 Adelaide City vs Adelaide United II Analysis →
13:30 Redlands United vs WDSC Wolves Analysis →