Manly United 3-2 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Apr 2024

Manly United
3-2 HT 2-1
NWS Spirit
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Manly United vs NWS Spirit Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manly United v NWS Spirit — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.52/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.67
+20% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.5 Crosses 23.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Manly United vs NWS Spirit Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY NWS Spirit
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
359 Passes 276
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.07.2023 Manly United Manly United 0-2 HT 0-2 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
18.03.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-3 HT 0-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United nicked a narrow win over NWS Spirit 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Manly United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Manly United and 1.50 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Manly United vs NWS Spirit?

Manly United 3-2 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manly United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Manly United 39%, draw 31%, NWS Spirit 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manly United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manly United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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