Gungahlin 1-0 Tuggeranong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.94
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.2pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.7pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 17%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.88/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.12
+10% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
499 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gungahlin
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tuggeranong United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 2-3 HT 0-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
23.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
28.05.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
02.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-4 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
27.06.2021 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
26.05.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-0 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gungahlin vs Tuggeranong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gungahlin edged past Tuggeranong United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gungahlin as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gungahlin had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gungahlin and 0.83 for Tuggeranong United.

What was the final score of Gungahlin vs Tuggeranong United?

Gungahlin 1-0 Tuggeranong United in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gungahlin vs Tuggeranong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gungahlin win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Gungahlin 56%, draw 21%, Tuggeranong United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gungahlin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gungahlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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