Tuggeranong United 2-3 Gungahlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
57%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.17
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+7.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
57%
Away Win
67%
-10.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 71%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.67/3.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.93
-35% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -53%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gungahlin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
28.05.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
02.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-4 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
27.06.2021 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
26.05.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-0 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
16.08.2020 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 2-1 HT 1-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs Gungahlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gungahlin edged past Tuggeranong United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gungahlin as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gungahlin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tuggeranong United and 2.17 for Gungahlin.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs Gungahlin?

Tuggeranong United 2-3 Gungahlin in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs Gungahlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gungahlin win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 23%, draw 20%, Gungahlin 57%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gungahlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gungahlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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