Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.1pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.71/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.02
+30% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
2W-1D-0L
AWAY St George City FA
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.79
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
146 Passes 330
60% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 1-2 HT 0-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
21.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-2 HT 2-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
04.02.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 3-4 HT 2-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden got the better of St George City FA 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 2.00 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs St George City FA?

Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 49%, draw 22%, St George City FA 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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