South Melbourne vs Moreland City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
South Melbourne v Moreland City — Team-Based Signals
South Melbourne vs Moreland City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
South Melbourne
AVNPL
2-1
HT 0-1
Moreland City
AVNPL
South Melbourne beat Moreland City 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, South Melbourne had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for South Melbourne and 0.33 for Moreland City.
What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Moreland City?
South Melbourne 4-2 Moreland City in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Moreland City?
Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 61%, draw 25%, Moreland City 14%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne) — while BTTS No went the other way.