Brisbane Roar II 2-3 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.6pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 54%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.05/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.22/0.74
-27% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +76%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Brisbane City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.53 xG 3.59
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
214 Passes 485
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
04.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
25.02.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
21.08.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
16.07.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-5 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
09.09.2020 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-7 HT 1-3 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City edged past Brisbane Roar II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brisbane City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 2.33 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane City?

Brisbane Roar II 2-3 Brisbane City in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 32%, draw 19%, Brisbane City 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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