Peninsula Power 1-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

Peninsula Power
1-2 HT 1-2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Peninsula Power vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.63
Over 2.5
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.7pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peninsula Power v Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.17/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.17
-7% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.9 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Peninsula Power vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.84 xG 1.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
367 Passes 239
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.06.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-3 HT 1-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
25.02.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
25.06.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
20.03.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
24.10.2021 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
08.05.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 4-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Coast Wanderers edged past Peninsula Power 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Peninsula Power at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Peninsula Power and 1.50 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Peninsula Power 1-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 51%, draw 24%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peninsula Power) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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