Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.71/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.73
+29% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
4W-0D-0L
AWAY NWS Spirit
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.74 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 378
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-2 HT 1-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
31.03.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
13.08.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 2-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
29.04.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden and NWS Spirit couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rockdale Ilinden at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 0.50 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit?

Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 52%, draw 23%, NWS Spirit 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
6 Apr 2025
07:00 South Hobart vs Launceston City Analysis →
07:00 New Lambton FC vs Cooks Hill United Analysis →
08:00 Queanbeyan City vs Yoogali Analysis →
08:00 Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Analysis →
09:30 Maitland vs Edgeworth Eagles Analysis →
10:00 Manly United vs Wollongong Wolves Analysis →