NWS Spirit 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-12.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 69%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.94/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.48
+11% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 22.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.07 xG 1.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
378 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
13.08.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 2-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
29.04.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden nicked a narrow win over NWS Spirit 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for NWS Spirit and 2.00 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden?

NWS Spirit 1-2 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 27%, draw 22%, Rockdale Ilinden 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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