Altona Magic 1-0 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.4
Draw
33%
4.62
Away
33%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
15%
+18.0pp
33%
Draw
18%
+15.0pp
33%
Away Win
66%
-33.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 71%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.73/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/0.97
+38% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Avondale Heights
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.82 xG 1.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
303 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 4-0 HT 2-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
27.05.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-5 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
25.02.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-0 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
16.07.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-1 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
16.04.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-0 HT 2-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
06.03.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-2 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altona Magic squeezed past Avondale Heights 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Altona Magic made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Altona Magic and 3.00 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Avondale Heights?

Altona Magic 1-0 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altona Magic win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 33%, draw 33%, Avondale Heights 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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