Port Melbourne 1-2 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.91
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
33%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
14%
+19.3pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.4pp
33%
Away Win
66%
-32.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 70%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
2.00/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.12
+91% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.54 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
408 Passes 281
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-0 HT 1-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
15.07.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-0 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
17.04.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-2 HT 1-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
03.09.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
25.06.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-3 HT 0-2 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
25.03.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 1-1 HT 1-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakleigh Cannons squeezed past Port Melbourne 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Oakleigh Cannons found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Port Melbourne and 2.00 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Port Melbourne 1-2 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 33%, draw 33%, Oakleigh Cannons 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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