Moreland City 0-2 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.65
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
33%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.61
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+15.2pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.8pp
33%
Away Win
62%
-29.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreland City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 67%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.65/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/0.79
+32% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreland City
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Hume City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Hume City Hume City 3-2 HT 1-1 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
01.07.2023 Hume City Hume City 3-2 HT 1-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
01.04.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 2-5 HT 1-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreland City vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City got the better of Moreland City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hume City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hume City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Moreland City and 3.67 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Moreland City vs Hume City?

Moreland City 0-2 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreland City vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreland City win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Moreland City 33%, draw 33%, Hume City 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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