Green Gully 2-3 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
45%
-11.5pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.98/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.64
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.4 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Dandenong City
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
342 Passes 224
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 0-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
11.06.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-4 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
11.03.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
16.04.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City edged past Green Gully 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Dandenong City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Green Gully had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Green Gully and 0.75 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Dandenong City?

Green Gully 2-3 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 33%, draw 33%, Dandenong City 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
6 Jul 2024
07:15 Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions Analysis →
08:00 Moreland City vs Hume City Analysis →
09:30 Riverside Olympic vs South Hobart Analysis →
10:00 Port Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons Analysis →
10:30 NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden Analysis →
11:15 Altona Magic vs Avondale Heights Analysis →