Devonport City 1-2 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒07:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.53
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
33%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
3.17
Over 2.5
50%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
61%
-27.4pp
33%
Draw
20%
+12.9pp
33%
Away Win
19%
+14.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
28%
+21.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
72%
-21.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.8pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Devonport City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.70/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/2.41
+20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Devonport City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-0 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
02.09.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 4-3 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
08.07.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-1 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 5-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
23.07.2022 Devonport City Devonport City 2-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
21.05.2022 Devonport City Devonport City 5-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions nicked a narrow win over Devonport City 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kingborough Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Devonport City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Devonport City and 1.50 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?

Devonport City 1-2 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Devonport City win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Devonport City 33%, draw 33%, Kingborough Lions 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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