Hume City 3-2 Moreland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland City EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.29/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.80
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.5 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Moreland City
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2023 Hume City Hume City 3-2 HT 1-0 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
01.04.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 2-5 HT 1-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Moreland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City squeezed past Moreland City 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hume City as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hume City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Hume City and 2.00 for Moreland City.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Moreland City?

Hume City 3-2 Moreland City in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Moreland City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hume City 57%, draw 22%, Moreland City 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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