Gold Coast Knights 2-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒10:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.77/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.31
-24% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +132% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.51 xG 1.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
333 Passes 224
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2025 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
11.06.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-1 HT 2-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
04.03.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-1 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
27.08.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
24.04.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
19.09.2021 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-2 HT 2-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights squeezed past Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.17 for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Gold Coast Knights 2-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 51%, draw 29%, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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