Salzburg 5-0 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.43
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
12%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
66%
+7.4pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.7pp
12%
Away Win
15%
-2.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.02/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.88
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
20.8 Crosses 15.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Grazer AK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.79 xG 1.21
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
549 Passes 179
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
02.08.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-3 HT 2-3 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
03.04.2019 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-6 HT 0-4 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
24.02.2007 Salzburg Salzburg 2-1 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
22.11.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-2 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
29.10.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
5-0
AWAY Grazer AK
3.81 xG 0.59
75% Ball Possession 25%
26 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
592 Passes 132
90% Pass Accuracy 62%
35 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg swept aside Grazer AK 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Salzburg had 75% of the ball to Grazer AK's 25%, shots finished 26-2, expected goals 3.81 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Salzburg and 0.50 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Grazer AK?

Salzburg 5-0 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 73%, draw 15%, Grazer AK 12%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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