Busan I Park 0-2 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 9 Aug 2025

Busan I Park
0-2 HT 0-1
Incheon United
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Busan I Park vs Incheon United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.67
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Busan I Park v Incheon United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.26/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.49
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +136%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.2 Crosses 10.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

Busan I Park vs Incheon United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 0.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
278 Passes 310
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
24.10.2020 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
13.09.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
21.06.2020 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
08.11.2015 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
19.09.2015 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK

Busan I Park 0-2 Incheon United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
0-2
AWAY Incheon United
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
406 Passes 336
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United beat Busan I Park 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Incheon United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Busan I Park had 56% of the ball to Incheon United's 44%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Busan I Park and 0.83 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Incheon United?

Busan I Park 0-2 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 30%, draw 31%, Incheon United 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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