Incheon United 1-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 30%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +30%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.99
-29% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.0 Crosses 14.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.85 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 320
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2020 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
13.09.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
21.06.2020 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
08.11.2015 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
19.09.2015 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
08.07.2015 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-1
AWAY Busan I Park
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
446 Passes 155
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United and Busan I Park shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Incheon United had 68% of the ball to Busan I Park's 32%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Incheon United and 0.67 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Busan I Park?

Incheon United 1-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 43%, draw 28%, Busan I Park 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Incheon United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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