Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.31/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.64
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.9 Crosses 17.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
403 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
25.06.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
10.04.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 5-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
10.09.2017 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-0 HT 3-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
19.07.2017 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 4-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
14.05.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-3 HT 1-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
2-1
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
355 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings nicked a narrow win over Jeonnam Dragons 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Suwon Bluewings found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 53% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 47%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.83 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 38%, draw 29%, Jeonnam Dragons 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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