Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
2.74/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.61
+90% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
Crosses 18.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
421 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
10.04.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 5-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
10.09.2017 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-0 HT 3-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
19.07.2017 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 4-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
14.05.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-3 HT 1-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR
20.08.2016 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
2-1
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
351 Passes 385
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings nicked a narrow win over Jeonnam Dragons 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 49% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 51%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.83 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 47%, draw 25%, Jeonnam Dragons 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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